Estimation of Bundibugyo virus outbreak size in Democratic Republic of the Congo, May 2026 update (imperial.ac.uk)
0xBASE INTEL BRIEF
- 516 suspected cases, 131 deaths reported in DRC.
- 8 lab-confirmed cases in Ituri, 2 in Uganda.
- Estimated 400–900 actual cases, possibly over 1000.
- Two independent methods confirm substantial under-detection.
"As of 20 May 2026, 516 suspected cases of Bundibugyo virus disease (BVD) were reported in DRC, including 131 deaths. Eight cases were lab-confirmed in Ituri Province, and two in Uganda among travelers from Ituri. Two independent methods estimate 400–900 actual cases, with possible values over 1000. Findings indicate substantial under-detection and potential wider transmission."
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