Estimating the Size of the Bundibugyo Ebola Outbreak in DRC: Imperial College Report (May 2026) (imperial.ac.uk)

• 516 suspected cases, 131 deaths, 8 confirmed in Ituri, 2 in Uganda
• Two independent methods estimate 400–900 cases (up to over 1,000)
• Indicates substantial under-detection and potential for wider transmission

"An Imperial College London report estimates the size of the Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. As of May 20, 2026, 516 suspected cases and 131 deaths were reported, but only 8 confirmed cases in Ituri and 2 in Uganda. Two independent methods (geographic spread and backcalculation from deaths) estimate the true case count at 400–900, possibly over 1000. The analysis suggests substantial under-detection and emphasizes the need for enhanced surveillance."